Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1244.678356 1417.843055 1611.615318 1845.486409 2121.382065 2438.053892 2831.268163
2025-07-27 984.221546 1210.979519 1489.694420 1861.539458 2350.801543 2981.322244 3869.778684
2025-08-03 839.896235 1086.319057 1408.473053 1868.395015 2521.335556 3435.836536 4851.921466
2025-08-10 757.968926 1020.854379 1382.338087 1928.492047 2755.929770 4002.570508 6104.661210
2025-08-17 694.909547 968.404190 1360.981367 1983.919160 2983.387853 4591.643847 7526.241623
2025-08-24 639.502052 917.658779 1332.033873 2018.480303 3177.709183 5158.252602 9048.636682
2025-08-31 590.124180 868.760500 1297.649237 2035.966731 3342.016575 5700.289263 10666.710069
2025-09-07 553.525231 834.601991 1280.754510 2077.394963 3551.182503 6360.856993 12706.618375
2025-09-14 501.560738 770.253961 1206.986521 2009.362546 3547.205905 6609.466838 13933.161253
2025-09-21 457.388952 714.180758 1140.667630 1944.987924 3537.953496 6842.410570 15190.147725
2025-09-28 417.171751 661.002975 1073.779756 1870.655648 3496.276607 6996.826432 16301.391416
2025-10-05 404.109616 652.608536 1083.906293 1942.545357 3764.469023 7890.356332 19651.272053
2025-10-12 384.318827 631.267218 1069.553684 1966.720581 3940.197188 8623.308518 22888.796295
2025-10-19 365.073116 609.277730 1051.915511 1982.280683 4100.877526 9363.029306 26488.112390
2025-10-26 346.716881 587.236509 1031.814695 1989.732826 4243.826259 10093.379289 30406.011458
2025-11-02 336.633099 579.505473 1038.277071 2054.566365 4536.300058 11308.367081 36682.170417
2025-11-09 326.655515 571.048777 1042.309986 2114.391548 4828.158591 12608.890914 44086.362000
2025-11-16 315.079027 558.523930 1036.822855 2151.708260 5069.197688 13831.542029 51992.969980
2025-11-23 302.617604 543.259685 1024.196182 2170.592703 5264.596166 14972.401811 60364.984081
2025-11-30 293.373841 533.634419 1022.444519 2215.343180 5542.130086 16483.492105 71812.778670
2025-12-07 274.805943 503.895176 975.102288 2141.862564 5462.815681 16713.656722 76545.385143
2025-12-14 258.010734 476.710574 931.236824 2072.368454 5384.502224 16931.820525 81453.194376
2025-12-21 241.607867 449.360191 885.045647 1992.169272 5261.252656 16951.568533 85240.585500